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Study Update - July 2011

posted Aug 5, 2011 8:32 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:30 AM ]
Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Progressed with geomorphic evolution analysis, including
    • Completed draft issue paper summarizing considerations for the geomorphic evolution method, including stakeholder acceptance, uncertainty, and methodology option to date
    • Initiated application of the open coast methodology to the 40 cm sea-level rise scenario
    • SLAMM modeling
      • Analyzed SLAMM connectivity submodel
      • Acquired data resources to support SLAMM applications, gathered data resources for the northern coastal areas and currently collecting southern North Carolina parameters
      • Completed sensitivity analysis that compares a sea level rise for two specified rates
      • Initiated simulations for the 40 cm scenario
  • Progressed with storm surge modeling aspects, including
    • Completed production runs for the 25 cm scenario
    • Completed initial tidal run for the 40 cm scenario to support the geomorphology studies
    • Progressed on documentation of baseline simulations and comparison to FIS return period elevations
    • Progressed on JPM and EST statistical analyses for baseline scenario
  • Progressed with future land use and development methodology implementation, including
    • Initiated development of production process and supporting tools
    • Progressed, in conjunction with academic partners, on population growth estimates for the study time horizon
    • Coordinated with academic partners on economic modeling to support land use projections
  • Initiated Reporting Viewer function and data requirements analysis
    • Coordinated with IHRM team to align requirements analysis with NC iRISK framework
    • Completed draft stakeholder needs assessment analysis for study projects
    • Progressed in functional requirements analysis
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study, specifically,
    • Held two coordination meetings
      1. Data frameworks and dependencies
        • Discussed database storage framework, inter-dependencies, and structure
        • Concluded that SLRRMS will have a separate production database
        • Discussed data dependencies, critical paths, and schedule
      2. Team synergy
        • Discussed tool development, SLRRMS unique requirements, and correction appplication of coastal depth damage curves
        • Conflation attributes to include critical infrastructure and key resource data
        • Status update and prioritization for asset database for SLRRMS counties
  • Met with Carteret County Economic Development Council (EDC) to provide project overview and discuss EDC's concerns
  • Updated study website

Planned Activities for August 1 to August 31, 2011
  • Complete geomorphic conditions and ecological modeling production for the 40 cm sea level rise scenario
  • Compete return period water elevation statistics for baseline and 25 cm storm surge scenarios (deferred from previous month)
  • Initiate hazard analysis on baseline condition scenario and develop prototype products
  • Initiate production storm surge simulations for the 40 cm sea level rise scenario
  • Complete documentation for calibration and validation of storm surge numerical modeling framework
  • Complete updates to study plan and conceptual model report
  • Continue production of Future Land Use and Development Projections
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management Study, including
    • Data dictionary, study output, and database schema
    • Acquire built environment asset data and test risk assessment consequence and economic modeling analytical frameworks
  • Present draft report on internet-based reporting viewer needs and functional requirements to Study Management Team
  • Engage subcontractor to commence work on Flood Risk Management Strategies (FRMS) task, including
    • Completion of the baseline policy framework review
    • Evaluation of case studies of sea level rise policy application
    • Development of the decision framework for the qualitative ranking of FRMS to be considered for detailed cost/benefit analysis