Study Updates

Study Update -- September 2011

posted Oct 14, 2011 8:27 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:30 AM ]


Study Update -- August 2011

posted Sep 26, 2011 12:35 PM by SusanMeredith Taylor

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Progressed with geomorphic evolution analysis
    • Prepared convex hulls for statewide digital elevation models to enable hydro-flattening of elevation surfaces
    • Created MHW surfaces and piloted "shoreline" location delineation for 40 cm scenario
    • Partially completed geomorphic assessment of barrier island features for 40 cm scenario
    • Finalized methodology and completed tidal conveyance assessment for 40 cm scenario
    • Completed SLAMM data collection and model setup
    • Partially completed SLAMM simulations for 40 cm scenario
  • Progressed with future land use and development methodology implementation
    • Progressed with population growth estimates with academic study partners
    • Evaluated and tested draft methodology to spatially distribute projected population increases
    • Completed initial development and testing of the land use and development tool
    • Initiated economic projections with academic partners
  • Progressed on reporting viewer and data dictionary development
    • Continued coordination with the IHRM team to align requirements with function of the iRISK framework
    • Progressed in functional requirements analysis, including identification of key viewer components by stakeholder
    • Initiated identification of detailed viewer elements by stakeholder
    • Identified key data layers across study elements and initiated database schema development
    • Progressed on aligning SLRRMS and IHRM data layers, and identifying needed changes to integrate SLRRMS multi-scenario framework into the IHRM data model
  • Preparations for risk assessment
    • Receipt of IHRM risk assessment database and toolset
    • Initiated evaluation of function and gap analysis for application of IHRM toolset to the SLRRMS
  • Updated study website
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study
    • Held two coordination meetings:
      1. Team synergy
        • Discussed aspects of risk assessment data conflation
        • Discussed application of updated FEMA BCA coastal depth damage curves to SLRRMS/IHRM studies
        • Coordinated tool and database transfer to SLRRMS team
        • Coordinated ongoing schedule needs and items on critical path
      2. Reporting viewer development
        • Discussed draft assessment of SLRRMS viewer requirements and vision with IHRM team
        • Coordination of needed products and capability/viewer limitations

Study Update - July 2011

posted Aug 5, 2011 8:32 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:30 AM ]

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Progressed with geomorphic evolution analysis, including
    • Completed draft issue paper summarizing considerations for the geomorphic evolution method, including stakeholder acceptance, uncertainty, and methodology option to date
    • Initiated application of the open coast methodology to the 40 cm sea-level rise scenario
    • SLAMM modeling
      • Analyzed SLAMM connectivity submodel
      • Acquired data resources to support SLAMM applications, gathered data resources for the northern coastal areas and currently collecting southern North Carolina parameters
      • Completed sensitivity analysis that compares a sea level rise for two specified rates
      • Initiated simulations for the 40 cm scenario
  • Progressed with storm surge modeling aspects, including
    • Completed production runs for the 25 cm scenario
    • Completed initial tidal run for the 40 cm scenario to support the geomorphology studies
    • Progressed on documentation of baseline simulations and comparison to FIS return period elevations
    • Progressed on JPM and EST statistical analyses for baseline scenario
  • Progressed with future land use and development methodology implementation, including
    • Initiated development of production process and supporting tools
    • Progressed, in conjunction with academic partners, on population growth estimates for the study time horizon
    • Coordinated with academic partners on economic modeling to support land use projections
  • Initiated Reporting Viewer function and data requirements analysis
    • Coordinated with IHRM team to align requirements analysis with NC iRISK framework
    • Completed draft stakeholder needs assessment analysis for study projects
    • Progressed in functional requirements analysis
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study, specifically,
    • Held two coordination meetings
      1. Data frameworks and dependencies
        • Discussed database storage framework, inter-dependencies, and structure
        • Concluded that SLRRMS will have a separate production database
        • Discussed data dependencies, critical paths, and schedule
      2. Team synergy
        • Discussed tool development, SLRRMS unique requirements, and correction appplication of coastal depth damage curves
        • Conflation attributes to include critical infrastructure and key resource data
        • Status update and prioritization for asset database for SLRRMS counties
  • Met with Carteret County Economic Development Council (EDC) to provide project overview and discuss EDC's concerns
  • Updated study website

Planned Activities for August 1 to August 31, 2011
  • Complete geomorphic conditions and ecological modeling production for the 40 cm sea level rise scenario
  • Compete return period water elevation statistics for baseline and 25 cm storm surge scenarios (deferred from previous month)
  • Initiate hazard analysis on baseline condition scenario and develop prototype products
  • Initiate production storm surge simulations for the 40 cm sea level rise scenario
  • Complete documentation for calibration and validation of storm surge numerical modeling framework
  • Complete updates to study plan and conceptual model report
  • Continue production of Future Land Use and Development Projections
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management Study, including
    • Data dictionary, study output, and database schema
    • Acquire built environment asset data and test risk assessment consequence and economic modeling analytical frameworks
  • Present draft report on internet-based reporting viewer needs and functional requirements to Study Management Team
  • Engage subcontractor to commence work on Flood Risk Management Strategies (FRMS) task, including
    • Completion of the baseline policy framework review
    • Evaluation of case studies of sea level rise policy application
    • Development of the decision framework for the qualitative ranking of FRMS to be considered for detailed cost/benefit analysis

Study Update - June 2011

posted Aug 5, 2011 8:05 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:31 AM ]

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Progressed with open coast and back-barrier elements of the geomorphic evolution pilot study, including follow-up with coordination action items generated from the geomorphology pilot study evaluation workshop
  • Completed evaluation of land use/land use change data sources for applicability to future land use projections
    • Drafted and distributed Issue Paper on source data for land use projections and distributed results to the Study Management Team and Future Land Use and Development team for evaluation
    • Initiated Future Land Use and Development methodology
  • Initiated Reporting Viewer function and data requirements analysis
    • Identified visual and tabular products for all conceptual model content
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study, specifically
    • Coordinated on critical path data and analytical framework needs
    • Coordinated on development of asset database for SLRRMS counties
    • Discussed analytical tool input requirements and outputs
    • Initiated second iteration of coordinating data element inventory with study conceptual model
  • Updated study website and developed additional content for the website

Study Update - May 2011

posted Jul 26, 2011 6:00 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:31 AM ]

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Reviewed conceptual model against recent clarification in data assets available to the study and made draft revisions
  • Progressed with open coast and back-barrier elements of the geomorphic evolution pilot study, including
    • Tested shoreline prediction methodologies
    • Conducted SLAMM sensitivity tests
    • Completed draft issue paper on the use of SLAMM for the study
    • Completed interim report on efforts to date
    • Convened workshop with advisory committee sub-group
    • Initiated Study Management Team discussion of path forward for geomorphic evolution
  • Progressed with storm surge modeling aspects, including
    • Completed tropical storm suite optimization, and received final track set, JPM parameters and documentation from contractor
    • Completed revisions to SLRRMS ADCIRC grid to reflect interim improvements in the NC FIS grid
    • Held coordination meeting with modeling partner to define and align ADCIRC products with study and discussed sequencing of extratropical and tropical runs to support parallel completion of EST statistics
    • Completed ADCIRC tidal calibration and validation runs on SLRRMS ADCIRC grid
    • Completed ADCIRC production runs for the baseline scenario
    • Initiated ADCIRC production runs from the 25 cm SLR scenario
  • Initiated Reporting Viewer function and data requirements analysis
    • Produced mock-ups of potential viewer appearance
    • Identified visual and tabular products for all conceptual model content
    • Met with developers to coordinate on data serving framework and database requirements
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study, specifically
    • Coordinated on critical path data and analytical framework needs
    • Coordinated on development of asset database for SLRRMS counties
    • Discussed analytical tool input requirements and outputs
    • Identified potential critical path issue with contracting for asset data conflation for SLRRMS counties
    • Initiate second iteration of coordinating data element inventory with study conceptual model
    • Consideration of unique aspects of SLRRMS economic modeling approach
  • Updated study website

Planned Activities for July 1, 2011 to July 31, 2011
  • Finalize open coast geomorphic evolution approach
  • Initiate production of future scenario geomorphic conditions
  • Complete return period water elevation statistics for baseline storm surge scenario
  • Initiate hazard analysis on baseline condition scenario and develop prototype products
  • Complete production storm surge simulations and initiate statistics for the 25 cm SLR scenario
  • Initiate production storm sure simulations for the 40 cm SLR scenario
  • Initiate ecological modeling for 40 cm SLR scenario
  • Complete documentation for calibration and validation of storms urge numerical modeling framework
  • Finalize conceptual model revisions and produce update report
  • Continue production of Future Land Use and Development Projections
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management Study, including
    • Data dictionary,study output, and database schema
    • Acquire built environment asset data and test risk assessment consequence and economic modeling analytical framework
  • Present draft report on internet-based reporting viewer needs and functional requirements to the Study Management Team
  • Engage subcontractor to commence work on Flood Risk Management Strategies (FRMS) task, including
    • Completion of the baseline policy framework review
    • Evaluation of case studies of SLR policy application
    • Development of the decision framework for the qualitative ranking of FRMS to be considered for detailed cost/benefit analysis
    • Producing a short-list of FRMS for detailed cost/benefit analysis through application of the decision framework

Study Update - April 2011

posted Apr 29, 2011 5:57 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Oct 14, 2011 8:31 AM ]

April 2011

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Approved study subcontractor agreements and submitted contracts to study subcontractors
  • Progressed with open coast and back-barrier elements of the geomorphic evolution pilot study
  • Re-scheduled geomorphic evolution pilot study workshop with methodology contributors and Advisory Committee sub-group
  • Completed tropical storm suite optimization, and received final track set, JPM parameters and documentation from contractor
  • Completed revisions to SLRRMS ADCIRC grid to reflect interim improvements in the NC FIS grid
  • Initiated ADCIRC tidal calibration and validation runs on SLRRMS ADCIRC grid
  • Progressed on validating land use and development change datasets
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management (IHRM) Study, specifically
    • Coordinated on critical path data and analytical framework needs
    • Held coordination meeting for internet based reporting viewer and discussed data elements and functionality, and serving framework
    • Initiated second iteration of coordinating data element inventory with study conceptual model
    • Consideration of unique aspects of SLRRMS economic modeling approach
  • Updated study website

Planned Activities for May 2011
  • Finalize geomorphic pilot study and present results to Advisory Committee sub-group (scheduled for May 12, 2011)
  • Initiate production of future scenario geomorphic conditions
  • Progress on storm suite and JPM adjustments for future tropical storm climatology projection scenarios
  • Complete meteorological data generation for baseline and future condition scenarios
  • Complete calibration and validation of storm surge numerical modeling framework
  • Initiate baseline scenario production storm simulations
  • Revise conceptual model to reflect scope clarifications and reductions that were identified in final contract negotiations
  • Complete validation analysis of land use datasets
  • Submit revised study data dictionary to IHRM team for review
  • Initiate future land use/development projections
  • Acquire built environment asset data from North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management Study and test risk assessment consequence and economic modeling analytical frameworks
  • Continued coordination with the North Carolina Integrated Hazard Risk Management Study
  • Prepare draft report on internet-based reporting viewer needs and functional requirements

Study Update Jan - March 2011

posted Apr 25, 2011 10:10 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Sep 6, 2011 9:23 AM by Brian Batten ]

March 2011

Key Accomplishments and Activities
  • Completed contracting with primary study partners, initiated subcontracting for methodology contributors
  • Progressed with the back-barrier elements and initiated open coast elements of the geomorphic evolution pilot study
  • Coordinated NOAA Coastal Services Center review potential datasets for land use and development projections and initiated effort to ground-truth the data
  • Completed sensitivity tests for optimized tropical storm suite for storm surge modeling
  • Considered trade-offs in accuracy for reduced storm suite and solicited alternatives from surge modeling partner
  • Initiated setup and testing of storm surge numerical modeling framework

Study Plan Updated

posted Apr 25, 2011 10:06 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor   [ updated Apr 25, 2011 10:11 AM ]

January 2011

Version 3.2 Revised draft incorporating schedule update and feedback regarding scenario probability.

Study Contracting

posted Jan 3, 2011 2:25 PM by Mohan Rajasekar   [ updated Apr 25, 2011 10:01 AM by SusanMeredith Taylor ]

December 2010

The SLR RMS Study Management Team is working on contracting for the remaining study efforts.  It is anticipated that Hazard Assessment Phase will begin in earnest in January 2011.

Geomorphic Evolution Pilot Application Scoping & Future Land Development

posted Jan 3, 2011 2:24 PM by Mohan Rajasekar

November 2010

Geomorphic Evolution Pilot Application Scoping

The SLR RMS team is scoping a pilot application of the geomorphic evolution methodology to address questions and concerns posed by the Advisory Committee.  Researchers from East Carolina University and North Carolina State University will participate in the study, with assistance from Dewberry.

Future Land Development

The SLR RMS Future Land Development work group is working to revise their methodology.  In addition, team is evaluating a land use change dataset developed from Landsat imagery for the Department of Homeland Security for potential application to the study. 

1-10 of 19